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Why Should We Be Pessimistic about Antirealists and Pessimists?

机译:我们为什么要对反现实主义者和悲观主义者感到悲观?

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摘要

The pessimistic induction over scientific theories (Poincaré, 1905/1952) holds that present theories will be overthrown as were past theories. The pessimistic induction over scientists (Stanford, 2006) holds that present scientists cannot conceive of future theories just as past scientists could not conceive of present theories. The pessimistic induction over realists (Wray, 2013) holds that present realists are wrong about present theories just as past realists were wrong about past theories. The pessimistic induction over antirealist theories (Park, 2014) holds that the latest antirealist explanation of the success of science (Lyons, 2003) has hidden problems just as its eight predecessors did. In this paper, I (i) criticize the pessimistic inductions over scientific theories, scientists, and realists, (ii) introduce a pessimistic induction over antirealist theories, and then (iii) construct two new pessimistic inductions. One is a pessimistic induction over antirealists according to which the author of the latest antirealist proposal cannot see hidden problems with his proposal just as his antirealist predecessors could not see hidden problems with their proposals. The other is the pessimistic induction over pessimists according to which since past pessimists have been wrong about their present scientific theories from the early 20th century to the early 21st century, future pessimists will also be wrong about their present scientific theories from the early 21st century to the early 22nd century.
机译:对科学理论的悲观归纳(Poincaré,1905/1952)认为,当前的理论将像过去的理论一样被推翻。对科学家的悲观归纳(斯坦福大学,2006年)认为,现在的科学家无法设想未来的理论,就像过去的科学家无法想象当前的理论一样。对现实主义者的悲观归纳(Wray,2013)认为,当前现实主义者对当前理论是错误的,就像过去现实主义者对过去理论是错误的一样。对反现实主义理论的悲观归纳(Park,2014)认为,关于科学成功的最新反现实主义解释(Lyons,2003)就像它的八个前辈一样,隐藏了一些问题。在本文中,我(i)批评了对科学理论,科学家和现实主义者的悲观归纳,(ii)对反现实主义理论进行了悲观归纳,然后(iii)构造了两个新的悲观归纳。一种是对反现实主义者的悲观归纳,据此,最新的反现实主义者提议的作者看不到他的提议的隐患,就像他的反现实主义者的前辈看不到他们的提议的隐患一样。另一个是对悲观主义者的悲观归纳法。根据这种归纳法,由于过去的悲观主义者从20世纪初到21世纪初一直对他们当前的科学理论有误解,因此未来的悲观主义者也将从21世纪初到20世纪初的现代科学理论不正确。 22世纪初。

著录项

  • 作者

    Park, Seungbae;

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  • 年度 2017
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 ENG
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